
Vol. 2 No. 8 April 16, 2001
by Guest Blogger, 7/17/2002
In This Issue
Bush's Budget – Analysis
Slow Burning Bush Budget
Hiding Estate Tax Repeal Behind Family Farms
Bush Proposes Government Reform Initiatives
Bush Citizen-Centered Internet Initiative
Digital Divide Funding
Leaving A Lot Out of the "Leave No Child Behind" Formula
Regulatory Action
Bush Regulatory Report
Administration Rolls Back Standard for Air Conditioner Efficiency
Medical Privacy Rule Stands, For Now
EPA Releases New Data on Toxic Pollution
As Pollution Climbs So Do Right-To-Know Attacks
Nonprofit Sector Issues
1999 IRS Data Continues to Show Estate Tax-Philanthropy Link
Campaign Finance Reform Legislation Heads To The House
OMB Watch Joins Groups Opposing Charitable Choice Bill in House
Internet Tax Moratorium Likely to Heat Up
Tech Help: Online Advocacy
Corrections
SIDE BAR: Taxes: Sign on to Oppose Repeal of the Estate Tax; Nonprof Sector:
Announcements: Foundation Payout Report Briefing; Democracy Works Conference
Slow Burning Bush Budget
There were two remarkable things about the Bush budget released on April 9. First, it was released after both the House and the Senate voted on their respective budget resolutions. As a result, Congress did not know the impact tax cuts would have on Bush spending initiatives and priorities. Second, the budget presentation is very understated. For example, Bush claims he will eliminate "duplicative and ineffective programs" but does not list them. He does not provide real numbers on military spending because he is doing a bottom-up review. His numbers for health care and prescription drugs for the elderly are far below what the Senate notes is needed.
If you listen to Bush, he can do it all – a major tax cut, pay down the debt, increase spending for defense, "fix" Social Security, provide a prescription drug program for the elderly, launch an education initiative, and adequately finance the rest of government. "My budget does all these things, and more," according to Bush. If you believe this, you probably also believe that you can click your heels three times and land in Kansas.
The tax cut is clearly the first priority in this budget. The President must recognize that if his tax cut is enacted it will crowd out any spending opportunities. If there is a continued economic downturn it will mean that the government cannot spend on programs – the very thing that may be necessary to stimulate the economy – without deficit spending because of the large tax cut. The Senate recognized this even without the President's budget submission, and as a result lowered the size of the tax cut in favor of putting money into programs.
The President says that spending will increase in his budget by 4%. But there is great controversy over these figures. Democrats on the Hill say it really is a massive budget cut. The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities says it's a 1.5% increase, but a decrease if you adjust for inflation. And some conservatives are arguing that it is a larger spending increase.
The bottom line is that the President uses budgetary gimmicks (e.g., items that Congress forward funded are counted as new spending), excludes earmarks that Congress always puts in the budget (e.g., $10 billion for farm subsidies and millions for environmental activities), uses an imaginary spending reserve, and doesn't provide real numbers for military spending. Even so, of the $25.7 billion the President claims is new spending, $14.5 billion (55%) goes for military spending, $5.6 billion goes for the reserve fund, and $3.7 billion goes for international affairs. That leaves only $4.8 billion for the rest of government. This squeeze on domestic discretionary programs becomes even worse in future years, especially after adjusting for inflation and population shifts. CBO puts the cuts at $246 billion over ten years. And this is in an era of the largest surplus ever.
The budget is like a slow burning bush. It smolders, but once it catches hold it will flame out of control.
Chart: President's Fiscal Year '02 Proposed Increases"
Chart: Where the Surplus Goes
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Is Estate Tax Repeal Really About Helping Small Businesses and Family Farmers?
The President’s April 9 Budget restates his February proposal to phase out the estate, gift, and generation-skipping taxes over a ten year period at an estimated cost of $261.3 billion. The Budget is somewhat superfluous since the House has already passed a bill to repeal the estate tax, albeit most of it in the last year of a ten year plan. Moreover, the Joint Committee on Taxation has scored the cost of full repeal at $662 billion over ten years, considerably higher than the Bush estimate.
A major reason cited for repealing the estate tax is that it “is killing family business,” including family farms. But the facts simply do not support this contention.
Family Farms
"To keep farms in the family, we are going to get rid of the death tax," noted President Bush. Yet a recent New York Times article (April 8, 2001, "Focus on Farms Masks Estate Tax Confusion") notes that the American Farm Bureau Federation, one of the leading voices calling for repeal of the estate tax, cannot give a single example of a farm lost to the estate tax. A farmer in Iowa is quoted in the article as saying the emphasis on repeal of the estate tax to save family farms is misplaced because "for most farmers around here, the estate tax is not high in their minds ... what we need are better crop prices." His comments are echoed by a South Dakota farmer, John Sumption, who recently testified at a Senate Finance Committee hearing about the estate tax. Mr. Sumption argued for modification of the estate tax by raising exemption levels, as was proposed by the Democrats in their alternative to the estate tax repeal bill in the House, and he testified:
"Mr. Chairman, I am not an expert on tax law, but I know about family farmers. They are my friends and neighbors. They are not worried about estate taxes, because, for the most part, they don’t have to pay them. They are worried, however, about the prices they receive for their crops and livestock, about good public schools for their kids, about local community services, paying for prescription drugs and being able to pay their bills in retirement. And, of course, they are always worried about the weather." (Mr. Sumption’s full testimony can be found at on the Senate Finance Committee website.)
The data supports Mr. Sumption’s point. According to 1999 data recently released by the IRS, only 6.8% of estate tax filers have farm assets. Indeed, only 2.8% of those filers with farm assets pay any tax. (And they have up to 15 years to pay with reduced interest rates.) According to the New York Times, "The average value of these farm assets was $440,000, only about a third of the amount that any married couple could leave untaxed to heirs."
The New York Times also notes that family farms are given an extra exemption beyond the $675,000 ($1.35 million for couples) that is currently exempt from the tax. (This income exclusion amount is scheduled to increase to $1 million ($2 million for couples) in 2006.) "[A] farm couple can pass $4.1 million untaxed, so long as the heirs continue farming for 10 years."
Of course, this is the rub. Many heirs do not want to continue doing family farming. They are already adults, often with families of their own, pursuing their own careers. When a family farm is willed to them, they often may choose to sell the farm, not because of the estate tax, but for other unrelated reasons.
Table: Estate Tax Returns and Farm Assets: 1999
Source: IRS, Statistics of Income, unpublished data, March 26, 2001.
At the same time that President Bush would do away with the estate tax to "save" family farms, his budget plan, according to one source, would cut funding to agriculture next year by $1.7 billion (or 8.3% below the FY 2001 level adjusted for inflation). He also fails to allow for emergency farm assistance to ameliorate the current farm recession. (See the House Democratic Leadership site) Finally, the President would eliminate the Wetlands Reserve Program, under which farmers receive a payment in return for preserving marshy habitat on their property. Already 1 million acres have been protected under this program. The Bush budget would get rid of all $162 million provided this year for a program that both helps farmers and protects the environment. As The Washington Post notes in an editorial, farm crop supports will be cut by nearly $10 billion because the Bush administration does not continue what was dubbed "emergency" spending in the past to avoid budget caps.
This illustrates an ironic aspect that runs through many of President Bush’’s proposals. It’s more than giving with one hand and taking away with the other, since the "gift" is often not worth much. Farmers don’t need estate tax repeal. It’s a gift with little value. Farmers do need all of the other things that Mr. Sumption mentions. But, if the estate tax is repealed, there will be less government revenue to provide all of those benefits.
Small Business
There is no uniform definition of small business in this country. For regulatory purposes a small business can be comprised of up to 1,500 employees or up to $17 million in revenue, depending on the type of business it is. (The Small Business Administration generally describes small business as up to 500 employees.) For tax purposes the criteria to determine whether it is small can be based on gross assets, gross receipts, number of shareholders, or a combination of factors. The thresholds for taxation, like regulatory matters, depend on type of business and type of tax.
For the estate tax, assets of a small business are calculated. A recent Joint Committee on Taxation report, Overview of Present Law and Selected Proposals Regarding the Federal Income Taxation of Small Business and Agriculture, (March 27, 2001, JCX-19-01) provides data on different types of corporations and their asset size. According to the report:
- 99.6% of Nonfarm Sole Proprietorships have receipts less than $1 million;
- 92.1% of S Corporations have assets less than $1 million;
- 83.3% of Partnerships have assets less than $1 million; and
- 88.1% of C Corporations have assets less than $1 million.
- Making government more "citizen-centered;"
- Making government more "results-oriented;" and
- Making government more "market-based."
- Require agencies to submit performance information with budget requests. As a starting point, OMB will require, for selected programs, "performance-based budgets" this September. Ultimately all agencies and programs will be required to do this. Apparently, "performance-based budgets" means "agencies will be advised of specific performance targets that are compatible with funding levels, and program managers will be held directly accountable for managing to the targets." The budget does not provide details on who will advise agencies of the performance targets or the compatible funding levels. But the choice of performance measures and the amount of money to achieve them will both be controversial and certainly something the nonprofit sector should have some say over.
- Publish detailed performance data. By 2004, the U.S. Budget will "integrate detailed performance and budget data...." Next year's budget will have more performance information as a step to the full integration.
- Propose legislation to change budgeting to give program managers more information. In particular, the budget notes that since agency officials will be held accountable for performance, they should have more accurate figures on costs, such as retirement and non-direct costs, and "flexibility in choosing service providers." It is unclear what this legislation would really propose.
- Total charitable bequests in 1999 were $14.6 billion. On average, 16.2% of those filing the estate tax claimed a charitable deduction.
- Two-thirds of charitable bequests are from estates of $5 million or more. Nearly half (46%) come from the super wealthy with estates of $20 million or more.
- The use of the charitable deduction under the estate tax is directly related to the size of the estate. The percentage of estates claiming charitable deductions increases from 13.3% in smaller estates (under $1 million) to 45.2% in the largest estates ($20 million or more).
- The average size of the amount given to charity increases dramatically as the size of the estate increases. The smaller estates (under $1 million) give, on average, $171,950; the largest estates ($20 million or more) give, on average, $25,873,096.
